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Program Evaluation 101: What AIR’s Study of CSR Can Teach All School Reform Providers
by
deanmillot@mac.com
on Tue 22 May 2007 12:42 PM EDT | Permanent Link
| Cosmos
School improvement providers who want to get a handle on program evaluation should read Education Week’s Debra Viadero’s May 16
article. To your editor, it illustrates that providers need to
understand “what” exactly is being evaluated, and how “the what”
affects evaluation outcomes.
In
1997, Congress established a hefty state grant program to encourage
poor schools to invest in proven, off-the-shelf models for improving
learning. By 2006, though, the Comprehensive School Reform
Demonstration program—or CSRD, as it’s commonly known—had effectively,
and quietly, died. Though still on the U.S. Department of Education
books, the program made no new grants to states in that year or since.
Now, along comes a study offering a fitting, if somewhat ironic, epitaph for the program: Models matter….
The
federal study, which was conducted by researchers at the American
Institutes for Research, or AIR, a nonprofit research group based in
Washington, tracked progress in 650 elementary and middle schools, half
of which were implementing one of eight different, packaged school
improvement models (Accelerated Schools Project, ATLAS Communities, Co-nect, Expeditionary Learning/Outward Bound, Modern Red Schoolhouse, Success for All, Turning Points, Urban Learning Centers), and half of which were using no formal schoolwide program to boost student achievement, between 2001 and 2004.
Funded
in 2000 when President Clinton was still in office, the $7.5 million
study was completed last year. But the Bush administration, which does
not count comprehensive school reform among its priorities for K-12
education, did not publicize it. The findings were published last fall
in a report by the research group and again last month in a series of
articles in the Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk.
In the interest
of full disclosure, your editor had direct and sustained relationships
with each of the eight organizations and their designs. All but
Accelerated Schools and Turning Points were original New American
Schools Designs, and they became members after an extensive quality
review. All received substantial technical assistance from NAS and/or
its affiliated Education Entrepreneurs Fund on the challenge of scaling
up to national scope. The Fund had an equity stake in Co-nect and loans
with most of the others.
“What" is being evaluated?
The AIR evaluation differed from the typical study accepted by the What Works Clearinghouse and summarized weekly in New Education Economy®.
Generally, the
evaluations submitted to WWC took place relative early in the program’s
history; involve a small number of control and experimental schools,
teachers and students; and cover a period of no more than one school
year. Aside from the fact that they tend to occur before the provider
has accumulated much experience with the program, there is every reason
for the reader to believe that this kind of study should produce the
best possible outcomes. The program developer is likely to select
schools with favorable conditions for implementation, can assign the
best staff to implementation, and devote as much attention to
implementation as necessary. Any shortcoming in documentation for
implementation staff, or materials for teachers and students, could be
repaired on the fly – because the staff assigned to the school was
often the development team itself.
The AIR study
highlights why the kind of review submitted to WWC may be called a
“program” evaluation but only evaluates part of the program –
specifically the model, design or process on which the program is
built. The evaluation described above tells the reader very little
about the provider’s capacity to offer quality outcomes at any kind of
scale.
By reviewing
some 325 schools with widely different characteristics - chosen by the
researchers and watched over five years, the AIR evaluation covers the
whole program. This includes the criteria providers apply in selecting
client schools; the extent to which program documentation covers
implementation comprehensively and accurately; the quality and training
of the implementation staff - and their managers; the extent to which
the materials, online and/or phone support services provided to
teachers and students clarify and reinforce the design; decisions about
the mix and amount of implementation services provided to schools; and
the quality of providers’ service delivery.
Because it
captures all the factors that bear on student outcomes when a provider
takes a program to scale, this kind of evaluation represents the real
world marketplace of school improvement services. Educators considering
a model still need to consider whether a design that performs well here
will fit their schools needs, but it offers much more information than
the typical study accepted by the WWC.
How “the What” Affects Evaluation Outcomes
The basic
article of faith shared by CSR providers is that programs that are not
implemented don’t get improvements in student performance. Viadero
explains how the AIR study confirmed this belief.
Between the
third and the fifth year of implementation, schools that had stayed
true to their school improvement models experienced achievement gains
at a rate outpacing those of the comparison schools. The boost in
achievement was all the more notable because the experimental schools
had started out lagging behind the control schools. In the experimental
schools that adhered less closely to the program guidelines, on the
other hand, test-score gains were no different from those in other
schools.
“In short,” one
of the journal papers on the subject concludes, “CSR ‘works’ when
external models are implemented faithfully and consistently for three
to five years.”
The learning
gains also varied, depending on the program that schools used. Success
for All, a program developed by researchers from Johns Hopkins
University in Baltimore, appeared to produce the largest academic
improvements of any of the models studied, the study found, and to have
schools that adhered closely to its program.
The pie chart below categorizes the extent of school implementation.

The chart also
suggests how a wholistic view of program can help providers improve
outcomes – very often dramatically and quickly.
Roughly half of
the schools in the AIR study never really implement their CSR design
(Nonreform, Momentary Reform, Nominal Reform, Resident Reform). Your
editor’s own experience with all of the CSR providers in this study,
whose total reach today includes literally thousands of schools,
suggests that almost every one of those non-implementers could have
been identified by objective measures before the provider signed a
contract. These potential clients lacked some combination of teacher
buy-in, supportive district policies, and adequate funding. Any one of
these factors can doom implementation, any combination will.
If the CSR
providers in the AIR study had looked for these indicators of likely
failure and decided not to contract with these schools, they would
have doubled their success rate. It is worth pointing
out here that Success for All - the program with the best results,
requires that teachers in its prospective schools favor implementation
by 80 percent in a secret ballot.
The payoff of this decision would not only be measured in student performance. In
every case providers found that they spent more time than budgeted on
these clients and so lost money – even before the costs of customer
acquisition are factored in. And poor outcomes at these sites made it
harder for marketing and sales to sign up new schools (i.e., cost more).
This discussion
covers the “front end” of program. Looking at the half of the
schools that did succeed in implementation for some period, provides an
opportunity to talk about the “back end.” Roughly half of theses schools
failed to maintain their model.
Whether or not providers should be
accountable for these schools depends on what they promised when they
entered in to the contract relationship.
Some CSR
providers offer to get their client schools up to a point where the
model is self-sustaining. Assuming the schools in question completed
the initial implementation period, these providers are responsible for
all the schools – those that managed to maintain the design (Sustained
Implementation, Sustained Implementation Without) and those that did
not (Transient, Temporary).
Many CSR
providers recognize that normal staff and principal turnover, and
changes in district policy erode their model continuously. This group
requires a constant service relationship between the school and the
provider. These providers are not responsible for schools no longer
under contract. This simple difference doubles these providers success
rate in this study.
The bottom
line: Providers need to understand what is being evaluated and
how management decisions at the front and back ends of their programs
affect evaluation outcomes. It's not rocket science.
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